The decision-making process of individuals in a competitive environment under risk and uncertainty

Value and probability weighting function. Tournament games as special settings for a competition between individuals. Model: competitive environment, application of prospect theory. Experiment: design, conducting. Analysis of experiment results.

Рубрика Менеджмент и трудовые отношения
Вид курсовая работа
Язык английский
Дата добавления 20.03.2016
Размер файла 1,9 M

Отправить свою хорошую работу в базу знаний просто. Используйте форму, расположенную ниже

Студенты, аспиранты, молодые ученые, использующие базу знаний в своей учебе и работе, будут вам очень благодарны.

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20

-7

6

9

28

17

0

2

18

0

2

 

10

28

19

8

1

20

-8

6

9

29

17

0

2

18

0

2

 

10

29

19

9

1

20

-9

6

9

30

17

0

2

18

0

1

 

10

30

19

10

1

20

-10

6

9

31

17

1

2

18

-1

2

 

10

31

19

11

1

20

-11

6

9

32

17

3

1

18

-3

2

 

10

32

19

12

1

20

-12

6

9

33

17

2

1

18

-2

2

 

10

33

19

13

1

20

-13

6

9

34

17

3

1

18

-3

3

 

10

34

19

14

1

20

-14

6

9

35

17

4

1

18

-4

3

 

10

35

19

15

1

20

-15

6

9

36

17

5

1

18

-5

3

 

10

36

19

16

1

20

-16

6

9

37

17

6

1

18

-6

3

 

10

37

19

11

1

20

-11

6

9

38

17

4

1

18

-4

3

 

10

38

19

6

1

20

-6

6

9

39

17

5

1

18

-5

3

 

10

39

19

7

1

20

-7

6

9

40

17

3

1

18

-3

3

 

10

40

19

8

1

20

-8

6

game

round

player

x

a

player

x

a

 

game

round

player

x

a

player

x

a

11

1

21

0

3

22

0

2

 

12

1

23

0

2

24

0

1

11

2

21

0

3

22

0

2

 

12

2

23

1

2

24

-1

2

11

3

21

-2

2

22

2

3

 

12

3

23

1

3

24

-1

2

11

4

21

-5

3

22

5

1

 

12

4

23

1

2

24

-1

1

11

5

21

-5

3

22

5

2

 

12

5

23

0

2

24

0

1

11

6

21

-4

2

22

4

2

 

12

6

23

-1

2

24

1

1

11

7

21

-4

3

22

4

1

 

12

7

23

0

2

24

0

1

11

8

21

-5

3

22

5

2

 

12

8

23

-1

2

24

1

1

11

9

21

-7

6

22

7

2

 

12

9

23

-2

2

24

2

1

11

10

21

-9

2

22

9

1

 

12

10

23

-3

3

24

3

1

11

11

21

-10

1

22

10

3

 

12

11

23

-1

3

24

1

1

11

12

21

-9

1

22

9

3

 

12

12

23

-2

3

24

2

1

11

13

21

-8

3

22

8

2

 

12

13

23

-3

2

24

3

1

11

14

21

-5

2

22

5

1

 

12

14

23

-4

2

24

4

1

11

15

21

-6

6

22

6

2

 

12

15

23

-3

2

24

3

1

11

16

21

-8

1

22

8

2

 

12

16

23

-2

2

24

2

1

11

17

21

-9

6

22

9

2

 

12

17

23

-3

2

24

3

1

11

18

21

-4

1

22

4

1

 

12

18

23

-2

2

24

2

1

11

19

21

-3

3

22

3

2

 

12

19

23

-1

2

24

1

1

11

20

21

-3

3

22

3

2

 

12

20

23

0

2

24

0

1

11

21

21

-5

1

22

5

1

 

12

21

23

1

2

24

-1

2

11

22

21

-5

3

22

5

3

 

12

22

23

3

2

24

-3

3

11

23

21

-2

3

22

2

2

 

12

23

23

5

2

24

-5

3

11

24

21

-1

6

22

1

2

 

12

24

23

5

2

24

-5

3

11

25

21

-1

3

22

1

2

 

12

25

23

7

2

24

-7

3

11

26

21

-1

2

22

1

3

 

12

26

23

7

2

24

-7

3

11

27

21

1

3

22

-1

2

 

12

27

23

9

2

24

-9

6

11

28

21

1

3

22

-1

1

 

12

28

23

11

2

24

-11

6

11

29

21

0

1

22

0

1

 

12

29

23

13

2

24

-13

6

11

30

21

0

1

22

0

2

 

12

30

23

15

2

24

-15

6

11

31

21

-1

3

22

1

2

 

12

31

23

15

2

24

-15

6

11

32

21

-3

3

22

3

2

 

12

32

23

15

2

24

-15

6

11

33

21

-5

3

22

5

2

 

12

33

23

17

2

24

-17

6

11

34

21

-5

2

22

5

2

 

12

34

23

19

2

24

-19

6

11

35

21

-5

3

22

5

2

 

12

35

23

19

2

24

-19

6

11

36

21

-4

3

22

4

2

 

12

36

23

21

2

24

-21

6

11

37

21

-3

6

22

3

2

 

12

37

23

15

2

24

-15

6

11

38

21

-3

3

22

3

2

 

12

38

23

15

2

24

-15

6

11

39

21

-3

3

22

3

2

 

12

39

23

17

2

24

-17

6

11

40

21

-3

3

22

3

1

 

12

40

23

19

2

24

-19

6

game

round

player

x

a

player

x

a

 

game

round

player

x

a

player

x

a

13

1

25

0

1

26

0

3

 

14

1

27

0

1

28

0

2

13

2

25

1

1

26

-1

3

 

14

2

27

1

1

28

-1

2

13

3

25

-1

1

26

1

3

 

14

3

27

2

1

28

-2

2

13

4

25

-3

2

26

3

3

 

14

4

27

3

1

28

-3

2

13

5

25

-6

2

26

6

2

 

14

5

27

4

1

28

-4

2

13

6

25

-6

2

26

6

2

 

14

6

27

3

1

28

-3

2

13

7

25

-4

2

26

4

2

 

14

7

27

2

1

28

-2

2

13

8

25

-4

3

26

4

2

 

14

8

27

3

1

28

-3

2

13

9

25

-4

3

26

4

2

 

14

9

27

4

1

28

-4

2

13

10

25

-4

3

26

4

2

 

14

10

27

5

1

28

-5

3

13

11

25

-6

3

26

6

2

 

14

11

27

3

1

28

-3

3

13

12

25

-8

3

26

8

1

 

14

12

27

4

1

28

-4

3

13

13

25

-6

3

26

6

1

 

14

13

27

2

1

28

-2

3

13

14

25

-7

3

26

7

1

 

14

14

27

3

1

28

-3

3

13

15

25

-8

6

26

8

1

 

14

15

27

1

1

28

-1

2

13

16

25

-9

6

26

9

1

 

14

16

27

0

1

28

0

2

13

17

25

-10

6

26

10

2

 

14

17

27

-1

1

28

1

1

13

18

25

-10

6

26

10

2

 

14

18

27

-1

1

28

1

1

13

19

25

-10

6

26

10

2

 

14

19

27

-1

1

28

1

1

13

20

25

-12

6

26

12

1

 

14

20

27

-1

2

28

1

1

13

21

25

-13

6

26

13

1

 

14

21

27

0

1

28

0

1

13

22

25

-8

3

26

8

1

 

14

22

27

0

2

28

0

1

13

23

25

-9

3

26

9

2

 

14

23

27

1

1

28

-1

1

13

24

25

-8

3

26

8

2

 

14

24

27

1

1

28

-1

1

13

25

25

-7

3

26

7

2

 

14

25

27

1

1

28

-1

2

13

26

25

-6

3

26

6

2

 

14

26

27

0

1

28

0

2

13

27

25

-3

3

26

3

2

 

14

27

27

-1

2

28

1

2

13

28

25

-3

3

26

3

1

 

14

28

27

-1

2

28

1

2

13

29

25

-1

3

26

1

2

 

14

29

27

-3

2

28

3

1

13

30

25

-3

3

26

3

2

 

14

30

27

-2

2

28

2

1

13

31

25

0

2

26

0

3

 

14

31

27

-1

2

28

1

1

13

32

25

0

2

26

0

3

 

14

32

27

0

1

28

0

1

13

33

25

-3

2

26

3

3

 

14

33

27

0

1

28

0

1

13

34

25

-3

2

26

3

3

 

14

34

27

0

1

28

0

1

13

35

25

-4

2

26

4

2

 

14

35

27

0

3

28

0

1

13

36

25

-6

3

26

6

3

 

14

36

27

-1

2

28

1

1

13

37

25

-6

3

26

6

1

 

14

37

27

0

1

28

0

2

13

38

25

-4

3

26

4

1

 

14

38

27

1

1

28

-1

2

13

39

25

-2

3

26

2

2

 

14

39

27

2

1

28

-2

2

13

40

25

1

3

26

-1

3

 

14

40

27

3

1

28

-3

2

game

round

player

x

a

player

x

a

15

1

29

0

2

30

0

2

15

2

29

0

2

30

0

2

15

3

29

-2

2

30

2

2

15

4

29

-2

2

30

2

2

15

5

29

0

2

30

0

2

15

6

29

2

2

30

-2

2

15

7

29

0

6

30

0

2

15

8

29

-2

6

30

2

2

15

9

29

-4

6

30

4

2

15

10

29

-4

6

30

4

2

15

11

29

-6

6

30

6

1

15

12

29

-7

6

30

7

1

15

13

29

-2

6

30

2

1

15

14

29

3

6

30

-3

1

15

15

29

2

6

30

-2

2

15

16

29

0

6

30

0

2

15

17

29

-2

6

30

2

2

15

18

29

-4

6

30

4

1

15

19

29

-5

6

30

5

2

15

20

29

-5

6

30

5

2

15

21

29

-5

6

30

5

1

15

22

29

0

6

30

0

1

15

23

29

-1

6

30

1

1

15

24

29

-2

6

30

2

1

15

25

29

-3

6

30

3

1

15

26

29

-4

6

30

4

1

15

27

29

-5

6

30

5

1

15

28

29

0

3

30

0

1

15

29

29

-1

3

30

1

1

15

30

29

-2

3

30

2

1

15

31

29

0

2

30

0

1

15

32

29

-1

2

30

1

1

15

33

29

0

2

30

0

2

15

34

29

-2

2

30

2

2

15

35

29

0

2

30

0

2

15

36

29

0

2

30

0

2

15

37

29

2

2

30

-2

2

15

38

29

2

2

30

-2

2

15

39

29

2

1

30

-2

2

15

40

29

1

1

30

-1

2

Appendix 5

Analysis of the experiment

Table 2 - Values of estimated slopes bi in a relationship at(xt) = б + вxt for each player i

player

b

 

player

b

1

-0,0059

 

16

-0,1908

2

-0,0637

 

17

-0,1475

3

-0,0527

 

18

-0,3238

4

-0,0343

 

19

-0,0186

5

-0,2676

 

20

-0,3641

6

-0,1408

 

21

0,0023

7

-0,2215

 

22

0,0255

8

-0,5184

 

23

-0,0105

9

-0,0004

 

24

-0,2683

10

-0,2032

 

25

-0,3199

11

-0,2575

 

26

-0,1328

12

0,0135

 

27

-0,1381

13

-0,1852

 

28

-0,2609

14

-0,1550

 

29

-0,4503

15

-0,1830

 

30

-0,0652

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